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Indianapolis Colts by the Numbers: Week 5 Offensive

in Out of Line 06.11.2018 04:55
von panxing18 | 154 Beiträge

Stats Every week Youth Jordan Wilkins Jersey , I will present a summary of some basic and advanced stats for the Colts performance relative to the league. Thanks to Pro Football Reference, NFL.com and the nflSCrapR project for being awesome sources of weekly data.Before discussing the Colts Week 5 offense, I want to address the new roughing the quarterback rule the NFL instituted to make the game safer. A lot of fans are upset with this rule, but I think if you look at the examples from The Colts-Patriots game below, it will help explain the NFL’s position. In the image on the left, the Colts’ Najee Good dangerously manhandles Tom Brady by rushing straight at him and then with the full weight of his hand, places his palm directly on the side of Brady’s helmet.A play like this could easily lead to a QB chafing a cheek or even an eye poke. Additionally, to avoid contact, Goode contorted his body and landed awkwardly on his hip which is unsafe and fully deserving of a 15 yard tack-on.Now in the image on the right, you can see 2 Patriot defenders demonstrating the proper technique. They both leave their feet and come crashing down on Andrew Luck. Notice how they wisely placed all of their body weight directly over Luck allowing Luck’s rib cage and skull to gently cushion the force of their 1鈦? ton mass in free fall.This is much safer for the defenders and correctly resulted in no penalty. Also, this is not lowering the head and leading with the helmet because reasons. OFFENSEIn week 5, the Colts offense was limited to 2 field goal attempts on 6 drives in the first half for 3 points and a putrid 57% DSR.In the second half, Luck and the offense responded with 21 points and an outstanding DSR of 82%.Let me do the math: 1 half of horrible + 1 half of great = 1 game of mehAn overall 72% game DSR is good but the last drive should be discounted as the game was already over and if you take that away then the rest of the game was just a league average 68% DSR. It’s not that the Colts couldn’t move the ball. There were only 2 three & outs, but turnovers killed 3 additional drives.TEAM TOTALSOverall, the numbers aren’t bad. The third down yards to go was a little steep (7.4), but the offense still managed to convert those at a high rate (47% vs 38% league average).Really the only black mark is the turnovers, which killed an otherwise decent effort.PASSINGLast week, I mentioned how I hate to talk about receiver drops, but I also don’t like complaining about officiating and I already did that so, what the hell.The receiver drops are getting pretty ree-god-damn-diculous. With a dozen over the last two weeks, that is an elephant in the room problem that must be addressed. Luck’s ANY/A was a not very good 5.4, driven somewhat by stone-handed receivers but primarily by 2 picks, one of which was not at all his fault and another that was so much his fault that it should count twice.I have been keeping an eye on the depth of attempted passes (aDOT) which for the Colts’ first 3 weeks was laughable, but in week 4 was much improved. There is no ‘right’ number for aDOT; longer attempts aren’t necessarily better (unless you are really good at completing them).Week 5 saw a continued effort to stretch the field a bit and if you want success with a dink and dunk offense, this is the kind of depth you need. Notice, however Womens Jack Doyle Jersey , that the week 5 yards per attempt dropped significantly. This is due to a much lower yards after catch than normal. This could be the result of injuries to primary receiving targets, but week 3 saw a similar result so maybe not.Whatever the cause, the YPA needs to improve. RUSHINGThe Colts ran the ball more in week 5, but they didn’t run it any better. YPC increased from 2.4 last week to 4.0 this week but that impact didn’t carry over to increased success as the weighted success rate only ticked up 4 points to about 31%. That ranks 20th which is just one spot higher than last week’s 21st ranking. The Colts only attempted 1 third down conversion by run, which was successful. That isn’t good or bad in and of itself. But you certainly would like to see a game with lot of 3rd and shorts resulting in a lot of 3rd down run conversions. CONCLUSIONSI think without the receiver drops and the 3 turnovers, this would have been a much different game.The offense was showing that they could move the ball on the Patriots but the Colts kept getting in their own way. If the offense can clean up these mental errors, they have the ability to be truly good.As it is now, they are not. SEASON TOTALS (per game)Colts Training Camp risers to watch through preseason Over the past couple weeks the Indianapolis Colts have gone from a mental assumption of what the team might look like, to having a much more clear view of who they like where, and how much they’re going to ask from them. There are several guys who have shown the Colts coaching staff what they wanted to see over the past 11 practices and it begins to get real for some of these players Thursday as the preseason gets under way in Seattle. Practice is practice, but if any of those who have risen on the depth chart — or just in the minds of the coaching staff — through camp can show out similarly as the preseason kicks off, they’ll be seen in an even brighter light.Here are a handful of Colts who have been on the rise through camp to this point and will be a group you’ll want to keep your eyes on going forward.Kenny Moore II | CBMoore has really taken off, especially in the last few practices. However, Chris Ballard and his coaching staff have been raving about him for awhile now. Moore has been getting first-team reps as the boundary corner — opposite Pierre Desir — lately and he’s continued to impress ever since. Despite Moore’s size (5-foot-9, 189 pounds) his praise has been coming due to his physicality and ability to challenge at the catch point. The rest seems to come pretty easily for Moore. He’s smart, doesn’t make fundamental errors and has that instinctual nature to his game that Reich talks so much about.It already looks like Moore has passed up Quincy Wilson as CB2 and that the position might just be his to lose. If he can throw in a couple good preseason performances to back that up, he just might be able to lock it up sooner rather than later.Ryan Grant | WRGrant is a bit of a different case then the rest of these you’ll read about. He’s definitely not flashy, he doesn’t possess any next-level speed, size or hands to speak of. But, that hasn’t changed the coaches minds for the worse about him. Offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni recently doted about Grant speaking about his consistency and desire to improve, while mentioning his route running and daily approach to camp. While Grant was recently pegged as the No. 2 at the position behind T.Y. Hilton, it comes via what won’t show up on the stat sheet. The lack of production and chemistry with Andrew Luck has me wondering how real this is right now, and deserves legitimate concern. But, he’s clearly become one of the staff’s favorites over the past couple weeks. He’ll really be one to watch closely. K.J. Brent | WRBrent has been one of, if not the most interesting players at camp so far. It’s been a nice surprise for the receiver position. He’s become an excellent route runner, has speed to burn and is a regular target for whoever is passing the ball. At 6-foot-3 Womens Adam Vinatieri Jersey , Brent gives the quarterbacks a big target, can rise to win 50/50 balls and is becoming one of the more reliable pass catchers from the unit. Last year Brent was active for 5 games, and though he didn’t put any catches, his potential for ascension was understood. Brent has come in to camp and has dominated at points, creating separation with crisp breaks while having that speed to runaway from defenders after the catch. With is potential in mind, Brent has risen from near the bottom of the receiver corps to own one of the top 5 spots at the position thus far. I can’t wait to see him versus different colored jerseys.Denico Autry | DT/DEWow! Honestly, that’s something I’ve heard regularly at camp in response to Autry’s play. He’s now been known as the one guy who has given rookie axe-murderer Quenton Nelson fits so far physically, but is also showing the speed and burst that Ballard and Matt Eberflus covet in this scheme. He’s doing exactly what they want from him. He’s been disrupting the Colts’ backfield, making life difficult for the backs, has forced Luck to escape early on 5-step dropbacks and is regularly seen chasing down the ball carrier to the sidelines. He’s truly been a spark plug for the defensive line up to this point.But, Thursday we’ll get to see if it translates against other teams. Seeing that he can be a three-down player for the Colts this year gets me excited about the possibility of him realizing his potential. He mostly came in as the starter, I think, but he’s looking more and more like a possible game changer for this defense. Skai Moore | LBWhat else can you say about Moore? He’s an UDFA for starters, and has risen to the ranks of starter (MIKE LB) with just one injury to Anthony Walker. Moore’s ability to cover and make plays in college was something we all hoped would surface for him in some capacity or another. Let’s just say he’s — at minimum — a legit upgrade in coverage to anyone else who’s worked in the MIKE role. Moore has packed on a few pounds since college, but never really lacked the physicality that the position calls for any how. Frank Reich talks about ball production, nearly every day. When you aren’t getting a ton of it from the rest of the back-7, a door opened for Moore. He’s taken advantage of his opportunity, and now is faced with very real expectations from Eberflus. Getting him in there in nickel, and as the dime linebacker will be good launching points for his season to take off. Joe Haeg | OLHaeg has been a bit of a late riser due to injuries, but a riser nonetheless. He’d been working as the third center, a rotational guard and tackle, and now he’s getting first-team snaps at left tackle just before the first preseason game of the year.Haeg was expected to be one of the top utility linemen coming into the year, but due to Anthony Castonzo being out, Denzelle Good sitting for the past few days and Le’ Raven Clark apparently not cutting it as the top backup there, Haeg finds himself in a position to solidify himself unequivocally as the sixth linemen regardless of who goes down.Castonzo up to this point in his career, has been one of the most reliable lineman for the Colts. He’s been good and he’s been available Womens Ryan Grant Jersey , thus the Colts have been able to scoot by without a legit backup at left tackle. As the Colts prepare for Seattle Thursday night, it’ll be interesting to see if Haeg can perform well enough to convince the staff and fan base that they do have a reliable backup from here on out.Jordan Wilkins | RBWilkins has just been so good since the Colts strapped the pads on. Everything we’ve talked about up to this point in terms of expectations have been revealed to be true. We watched his tape and realized that his vision, patience and surprising ability to get up to full speed quickly were something that needed to translate. So far, it has. Wilkins is pushing for starter reps, can catch the ball in the flat or across the middle and is showing a little more speed than I expected once he breaks through to the second level of the defense. Pairing him with Marlon Mack seems ideal. Adding another weapon like Nyheim Hines is an added bonus and will theoretically give the Colts a fun three-headed monster for teams to deal with.Wilkins hasn’t wavered in practice, has become a daily reminder that he can handle the rise in competition from Ole Miss and that he just may be a weapon in his own rite. Be excited Colts fans.Deon Cain | WROur third receiver on this list, and he just may be the most impressive of the bunch when it’s all said and done. As I mentioned earlier, this is a good development as the position was expected to be a real concern heading into the season.From the start of camp to now, I think it’s fair to move Cain into the WR4 spot. He’s been a playmaker early, and even though he’s not continued to make big flashy plays each and every day, he’s remained consistent and reliable at the very least.Cain has displayed the speed, route running ability and amazing body control that you would expect to see from an early-round draft pick. Yes, he was considered to have top-level talent, but he dropped and the Colts now are the beneficiaries of a ticked off, 6-foot-2 pass catcher with 4.43 speed and one massive chip on his shoulder.Just as the rest of this list, Cain will have to put it all out on the field in a game before any of us can truly believe what he offers. But, there’s no mistaking his potential and that he’s absolutely determined to reach it.There are more guys who could probably have made this list. Tyquan Lewis, Kemoko Turay, Margus Hunt and Zaire Franklin — just to name a few — have all looked good in practice and are rising in one way or another. However, this group above have been the most noticeable, either from my vantage point or via the coaching staff doubling down on their importance. This is a solid group to keep your eyes on, but let’s not pretend that we’re not going to be watching each and every player in order to see what they have to offer in a real game scenario. Colts football is almost here, folks.

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